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and prices, unemployment and labour productivity. Impulse indicator saturation is used to achieve robust estimation of … productivity trends in the same way as in countries with very different institutions and macroeconomic development. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653824
This paper makes a twofold contribution. First, it develops the dynamic factor model of by allowing for fractional integration instead of imposing the classical dichotomy between I(0) stationary and I(1) non-stationary series. This more general setup provides valuable information on the degree...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015272692
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
Despite the growing interest in realized stochastic volatility models, their estimation techniques, such as simulated maximum likelihood (SML), are computationally intensive. Based on the realized volatility equation, this study demonstrates that, in a finite sample, the quasi-maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014425668
This article extends the Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression Model (FAVAR) to mixed-frequency and incomplete panel data. Within the scope of a fully parametric two-step approach, the alternating application of two expectation-maximization algorithms jointly estimates model parameters and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161533
Wage coordination plays an important role in macroeconomic stabilization. Pattern wage bargaining systems have been common in Europe, but in different forms, and with different degrees of success in terms of actual coordination reached. We focus on wage formation in Norway, a small open economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265703
Financial assets often exhibit explosive price surges followed by abrupt collapses, alongside persistent volatility clustering. Motivated by these features, we introduce a mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible autoregressive moving average generalized autoregressive conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015437136
Electricity price forecasting has been a topic of significant interest since the deregulation of electricity markets worldwide. The New Zealand electricity market is run primarily on renewable fuels, and so weather metrics have a significant impact on electricity price and volatility. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408219
This paper studies long economic series to assess the long-lasting effects of pandemics. We analyze if periods that cover pandemics have a change in trend and persistence in growth, and in level and persistence in unemployment. We find that there is an upward trend in the persistence level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295989
We retrieve news stories and earnings announcements of the S&P 100 constituents from two professional news providers, along with ten macroeconomic indicators. We also gather data from Google Trends about these firms’ assets as an index of retail investors’ attention. Thus, we create an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711085