Showing 1 - 10 of 115
improves the forecasting of the aggregated series compared to using the aggregated series alone. We used econometric techniques …-horizon Superior Predictive Ability (uSPA) tests, used to select the best forecasting model by combining different horizons. Our sample … forecasting horizons that are more than one month ahead using the mean square error, and the aggregated ETS has better forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355068
, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355187
volatility information improves the day volatility estimation. The results indicate a forecasting improvement using bivariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811
-dimensional surfaces. We propose to extend their use to finance and, in particular, to forecasting yield curves. We present the results of … Kriging method based on the anisotropic variogram. Furthermore, a comparison with other recent methods for forecasting yield … competitive with the other forecasting models considered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411696
We examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and model selection for autoregressive panel data models with fixed effects. We find that the transformation of fixed effects proposed by Lancaster (2002) does not necessarily lead to consistent estimation of common parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297557
This survey reviews the large and growing literature on the use of pair-copula constructions (PCCs) in financial applications. Using a PCC, multivariate data that exhibit complex patterns of dependence can be modeled using bivariate copulae as simple building blocks. Hence, this model represents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650530
In this paper, we study forecasting problems of Bitcoin-realized volatility computed on data from the largest crypto …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160813
-GARCH-MIDAS model outperforms others in forecasting cryptocurrency volatility. Furthermore, we uncover that, in contrast to their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636395
This paper presents the parallel computing implementation of the MitISEM algorithm, labeled Parallel MitISEM. The basic MitISEM algorithm provides an automatic and flexible method to approximate a non-elliptical target density using adaptive mixtures of Student-t densities, where only a kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504818
We investigate the direct connection between the uncertainty related to estimated stable ratios of stock prices and risk and return of two pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit arbitrage one. A simulation-based Bayesian procedure is introduced for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505854