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Missing data or missing values are a common phenomenon in applied panel data research and of great interest for panel data unit root testing. The standard approach in the literature is to balance the panel by removing units and/or trimming a common time period for all units. However, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041203
This paper proposes a class of partial cointegrated models allowing for structural breaks in the deterministic terms. Moving-average representations of the models are given. It is then shown that, under the assumption of martingale difference innovations, the limit distributions of partial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160757
We develop a new model where the dynamic structure of the asset price, after the fundamental value is removed, is subject to two different regimes. One regime reflects the normal period where the asset price divided by the dividend is assumed to follow a mean-reverting process around a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781855
In cointegration analysis, it is customary to test the hypothesis of unit roots separately for each single time series. In this note, we point out that this procedure may imply large size distortion of the unit root tests if the DGP is a VAR. It is well-known that univariate models implied by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505987
quarterly data, has been introduced in the literature. The asymptotic theory of the seasonal KPSS test depends on whether data … properties of the seasonal KPSS test in finite samples. A sketch of the test's limit theory is subsequently provided. Moreover, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297641
To capture location shifts in the context of model selection, we propose selecting significant step indicators from a saturating set added to the union of all of the candidate variables. The null retention frequency and approximate non-centrality of a selection test are derived using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297656
Time-varying volatility is common in macroeconomic data and has been incorporated into macroeconomic models in recent work. Dynamic panel data models have become increasingly popular in macroeconomics to study common relationships across countries or regions. This paper estimates dynamic panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650493
Phillips, Geweke, Kleibergen and van Dijk, and Zellner. Amongst the sampling theory methods, OLS, 2SLS, LIML, Fuller’s modified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161526
Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are widely used for non-linear filtering purposes. However, the SMC scope encompasses wider applications such as estimating static model parameters so much that it is becoming a serious alternative to Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Not only do SMC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504888
Decision-makers often consult different experts to build reliable forecasts on variables of interest. Combining more opinions and calibrating them to maximize the forecast accuracy is consequently a crucial issue in several economic problems. This paper applies a Bayesian beta mixture model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505901