A small open economy model emphasizing the endogenous interestrate arbitrage was employed to examine whether arbitrage activities would dampen or augment exchange rate volatility against random disturbances. Based on numerical simulation, increased risk aversion of arbitragers was observed to...

Ever since the early 1980s, major industrial countries have been suffering from severe multi-lateral trade imbalances, accompanied by tremendously volatile exchange rates. This paper examines the relationship between trade balance and exchange rate volatility. A stochastic macroeconomic model...

The paper seeks to unfold some of the popular myths and realities concerning the recent financial crisis in the MIT (Malaysia-Indonesia-Thailand) countries. In this connection, it also analyses the various models of speculative attacks and their applicability, and the systemic implications of...

This paper examines the relationship between exchange rate pass-through and exchange rate volatility. Numerical simulation suggests that increased degree of pass-through may be stabilizing or destabilizing the exchange rate, mainly depending on the source of random disturbances. The result is...

An ARDL model is estimated and subsequently used to forecast the exchange rate of the Kuwaiti dinar (KD) against the U.S. dollar. It is demonstrated that this exchange rate is related to the exchange rates of the yen, mark and pound against the dollar in accordance with the arrangement of...

In a 1952 article Alexander argued that currency devaluation could lead to a decline in domestic consumption by redistributing income from workers with high MPC to producers with low MPC. In this paper we include the exchange rate as another determinant of domestic consumption in addition to...

Contrast to the BEER, PEER and FEER approaches, this paper develops a two-country model of monopolistic competition to re-examine whether the Chinese Renminbi is undervalued and to what extent it is undervalued. A testable equation that governs the equilibrium exchange rate of Renminbi is...

A simulation exercise is conducted to find out if the profitability of forecasting-based currency trading is more related to the ability of the underlying model to predict the direction of change than the magnitude of the forecasting error. Theoretical considerations show that a correct...

We investigate long-run relations and short-run dynamics between China’s bilateral trade balance and real exchange rates with thirteen major trading partners over 1981-2008. Maximum likelihood tests of cointegration reveal no evidence of significant long-run relationship between the two...

The objective of this study is to examine the impact of exchange rate on Nigeria’s trade balance. Time series data on trade balance, external reserves, exchange rate, money supply and real GDP were used in the analysis and the data were subjected to unit root tests to determine their time...