The EU grants preferential access to its imports from developing countries under several trade agreements. The widest arrangement, in terms of country and product coverage, is the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) through which, since 1971, virtually all developing countries have received...

In this paper we use the structural credit risk methodology of Merton (1974) to estimate country default risk as the country financial risk premium for eight of the largest Latin American economies - Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela - from 1986 to 2000. We...

On the basis of new hand-gathered information on the trade policy changes that have occurred in 27 least developed countries (LDCs), this paper presents new fi ndings on the timing, speed and chronological sequencing of the liberalization effort in the LDCs. Periods, rather than single years,...

Income convergence is here tested for the 25 nonoil Heston-Summers countries for which physical capital data are available. ß-convergence is tested via a dynamic Cobb-Douglas growth equation both in panel and in single-country form. õ-convergence is tested for the stationarity of unconditional...

In a 1952 article Alexander argued that currency devaluation could lead to a decline in domestic consumption by redistributing income from workers with high MPC to producers with low MPC. In this paper we include the exchange rate as another determinant of domestic consumption in addition to...

Contrast to the BEER, PEER and FEER approaches, this paper develops a two-country model of monopolistic competition to re-examine whether the Chinese Renminbi is undervalued and to what extent it is undervalued. A testable equation that governs the equilibrium exchange rate of Renminbi is...

A simulation exercise is conducted to find out if the profitability of forecasting-based currency trading is more related to the ability of the underlying model to predict the direction of change than the magnitude of the forecasting error. Theoretical considerations show that a correct...

We investigate long-run relations and short-run dynamics between China’s bilateral trade balance and real exchange rates with thirteen major trading partners over 1981-2008. Maximum likelihood tests of cointegration reveal no evidence of significant long-run relationship between the two...

A small open economy model emphasizing the endogenous interestrate arbitrage was employed to examine whether arbitrage activities would dampen or augment exchange rate volatility against random disturbances. Based on numerical simulation, increased risk aversion of arbitragers was observed to...

The objective of this study is to examine the impact of exchange rate on Nigeria’s trade balance. Time series data on trade balance, external reserves, exchange rate, money supply and real GDP were used in the analysis and the data were subjected to unit root tests to determine their time...