This Economic Commentary explains a relatively new method of uncovering inflation expectations, real interest rates, and an inflation-risk premium. It provides estimates of expected inflation from one month to 30 years, an estimate of the inflation-risk premium, and a measure of real interest...

A response by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland president to critics of his continuing advocacy of zero inflation as the overriding objective of monetary policy.

New models of monetary economies, developed in the last 15 years, suggest that traditional measures of the welfare cost of inflation may underestimate the true loss that inflation inflicts on society. According to these models, the cost of 10 percent inflation ranges from 1 to 5 percent of real...

A discussion of the pernicious effects of inflation on U.S. economic efficiency and a recommendation that the Federal Reserve should move toward its goal of price stability through an information program stating its goals, methods, and timetables for achieving zero inflation.

A discussion of recessions, caused by inflationary monetary policies as well as nonmonetary surprises, and a prescription for attaining maximum sustainable economic growth.

The most frequently cited measures of inflation expectations, from TIPS-derived indicators to survey-based estimates like Blue Chip forecasts, have some inherent limitations when it comes to applying them to questions of monetary policy. Recently, researchers developed a model that takes...