An examination of GNP forecasts and their implications for monetary policy, showing that although such forecasts have lessened uncertainty about the economy's future course, the errors are still too large to justify basing monetary policy on the near-term GNP outlook alone.

An examination of the monetary policy goals of the Federal Reserve System, with a discussion of the role of the M1 target.

An argument that a monetary policy aimed at eliminating long-run inflation would benefit society by removing price distortion, increasing economic growth, adding liquidity to the economy, and reducing uncertainty associated with price-level drift.

An analysis of the Federal Reserve's use of the M2 monetary aggregate as both a short-term and long-term policy guide, asserting that the FOMC's tentative target range for M2 growth in 1990 permits ample opportunity for the inflation rate to either accelerate or decline during the next few years.

An examination of the apparent breakdown in the relationship between M1 and economic activity, with a discussion of the historical perspective of the breakdown of velocity in the 1980s, and of the monetarist position on recent experience.

An examination of the feasibility and appropriateness of establishing a direct, price-index target as the primary objective of U.S. monetary policy, with particular emphasis on the Swedish Riksbank's experiment with such an approach during the 1930s.

An argument that the Federal Reserve, by targeting a long-run path for the price level, could achieve its price-stability objective without inhibiting its short-term goals.

A review of monetary targeting in recent years and a discussion of issues raised by Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker's February 1984 report to Congress on the System's objectives for the year.

A discussion of Federal Reserve monetary targets and of their relationship to the turnover of money (velocity) in the economy, with an examination of historical trends from 1880 to 1982, and comment on the effect of interest-bearing checking accounts on velocity.

An examination of the compositional changes in the monetary aggregates M1 and M1A, with a discussion of their behavior in the 1980s and some issues relevant to the possibility of replacing M1 with M1A in the monetary targeting framework.