Analysis of interest differentials in the European Monetary System has suggested a widespread lack or credibility of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in the sense that in most countries the implicit expected rate of devaluation was significant and not far short of inflation differentials...

Currency substitution has important implications for the cost of European monetary union--if it is significant it will help to reduce costs of convergence to a single currency. This paper informs the policy debate by testing for its existence on a consistent European database making use of...

Establishment of the European Central Bank presents a rare opportunity to define the operations of a central bank without a prior track record. This paper asks what might be learnt from the recent experience of inflation targeting at the Bank of England before the ECB specifies an, as yet...

The determination of long-run aggregate supply is a feature which short-run models of macroeconomic policy coordination tend to neglect but which has implications for the setting of interest rates. In this paper, the authors develop an open-economy model of output maximization, where investment...