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This paper proposes a monetary model with firm entry as a means for alleviating the difficulties of real business cycle models in reproducing the smoothness and persistence of macroeconomic variables together with the volatility of profits and markups. Simulations show that my baseline model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010719410
Combining economic time series with the aim to obtain an indicator for business cycle analyses is an important issue for policy makers. In this area, econometric techniques usually rely on systems with either a small number of series, N, or, at the other extreme, a very large N. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048718
We build a model of the euro area incorporating financial market frictions at the level of firms and households. Entrepreneurs borrow from financial intermediaries in order to purchase business capital, in the spirit of the “financial accelerator” literature. We also introduce two types of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048720
intermediate aggregates or formulating models with unobserved components. We use the procedure to forecast inflation in the Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051430
forecasts. Finally, we use the same methodology to determine whether the Fed’s forecasts of GDP growth, inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117240