Aastveit, Knut Are; Jore, Anne Sofie; Ravazzolo, Francesco - Norges Bank - 2015
We define and forecast classical business cycle turning points for the Norwegian economy. When defining reference business cycles, we compare a univariate and a multivariate Bry-Boschan approach with univariate Markov-switching models and Markov-switching factor models. On the basis of a...