Using a standard forward-looking New Keynesian model, this paper investigates rational expectation equilibrium determinacy and macroeconomic performance of simple monetary policy rules under exogenous versus endogenous tax policies when there is tax uncertainty. Under the endogenous tax...

Using a New-Keynesian model subject to misspecifications, we examine how the robust monetary policy could be modified by a linear inflation contract when a central bank is opaque about its preference for model robustness. It is shown that a central bank must limit this preference and opacity...

This paper studies the effects of the monetary policy regime shift to inflation targeting on the stochastic properties of the real interest rate in the U.K. The empirical analysis suggests a constant mean of the real interest rate that shifts with the monetary policy regime change to inflation...

In this paper we compare a deterministic model and a Markov switching model to analyze the behavior of the US economy and the Federal Reserve. We examine both optimal and empirical monetary policies for the US Federal Reserve between 1960 and 2008. We compare the optimal monetary policy to the...

We compare three standard New Keynesian models differing only in their representations of monetary policy—the Optimal Timeless Rule, the original Taylor Rule and another with ‘interest rate smoothing’—with the aim of testing which if any can match the data according to the method of...

This paper focuses on the role of the Tobin's Q channel in a two-country framework in which exporting firms set their prices on the basis of local currency pricing. Incomplete exchange rate pass-through significantly affects the Tobin's Q channel in each country compared with the case of...

In this paper, the monetary policy independence of European nations in the years before European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) is investigated using cointegration techniques. Daily data is used to assess pairwise relationships between individual EMU nations and ‘lead’ nation Germany, to...

This paper investigates changes to the macroeconomic transmission mechanism in Turkey following a major reform of monetary policy in the early 2000s. We use a Threshold VAR (TVAR) framework to test for and then estimate a model with endogenous transitions between regimes. We detect two regimes,...

Recent literature has attempted to apply Extreme Value Theory (EVT) in the identification of currency crises. However, these approaches seem to have confused the thresholds in extreme modeling with the cutoffs of currency crises. Our paper proposes a Return Level Identification Approach, also...

An extensive literature stresses that currency misalignments are costly in terms of growth performance. However, these studies do not consider the direct and indirect effects of currency misalignments on other countries. In this paper, we analyze how misalignments of the dollar, the euro, and...