This paper revisits the link between oil price uncertainty and macroeconomy in the context of a net oil exporting country, Canada. Results obtained from alternative Structural VAR models suggest that while shocks to oil price level do not affect the aggregate level of output, the oil price...

This paper shows that in the short term both gold and crude oil prices positively influence each other. Interest rates have a negative influence on the future gold prices and a positive influence on the future crude oil prices. In the long run, a relationship exists whereby interest rates...

The paper presents a new approach to exchange rate modelling that augments the CHEER model with a sovereign credit default risk as perceived by financial investors making their decisions. In the cointegrated VAR system with nine variables comprised of the short- and long-term interest rates in...

Using a standard forward-looking New Keynesian model, this paper investigates rational expectation equilibrium determinacy and macroeconomic performance of simple monetary policy rules under exogenous versus endogenous tax policies when there is tax uncertainty. Under the endogenous tax...

Price and liquidity puzzles have been identified as two major counterintuitive findings arising from monetary shocks. We investigate their presence in eleven African countries, using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model designed for indebted small open-economies. Our simulations reveal...

This paper decomposes monetary policy changes into anticipated and unanticipated ones. Then US Treasury rate pass-through and the corresponding central bank reaction function are analyzed within an asymmetric error–correction framework. Our empirical analysis indicates that changes in policy...

This paper studies the effects of the monetary policy regime shift to inflation targeting on the stochastic properties of the real interest rate in the U.K. The empirical analysis suggests a constant mean of the real interest rate that shifts with the monetary policy regime change to inflation...

This paper attempts to establish the quantitative importance of the various channels of monetary transmission by constructing, estimating and simulating a small macroeconometric model of Pakistan's monetary sector, while using data from the monetary statistics and the monetary survey of the...

After more than two decades of inflation targeting in the world, it is important to evaluate if the adoption of this regime in a relevant developing country contributed to the creation of a better environment for the process of entrepreneurs' expectations formation. Brazil is part of an...

We propose an alternative way of estimating Taylor reaction functions if the zero‐lower bound on nominal interest rates is binding. This approach relies on tackling the real rather than the nominal interest rate. So if the nominal rate is (close to) zero central banks can influence the...