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not seem to have been primary causal agents of recessions. The analysis also suggests that government policies can affect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361069
recessions that appears superior to that embodied in the LEI Index, at least when simple rules of thumb are used to extract …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361145
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recession prediction models. He concludes that these models have demonstrated some ability in the past to predict recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005379607
One of the striking characteristics of the recent currency crises in East Asia is the sharp reductions in output that followed depreciations. This paper draws on an earlier literature on contractionary depreciations to motivate an empirical model of the relationship between exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352252
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This article decomposes U.S. GDP into components associated with major macroeconomic disturbances in order to identify the likely causes of the 1990 recession. Four types of disturbances--aggregate supply, aggregate spending, money demand and money supply--are identified in the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707525
An investigation of the 1990-91 recession's impact on blue- versus white-collar workers, showing that although blue-collar workers bore the brunt of the downturn, white-collar employment growth was unusually slow by historical standards.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707862