expected in real-time situations. This fact is particularly relevant if a forecasting model's performance is to be compared …

forecasting? ; The author first discusses the definition of turning points and describes different approaches to turning point … forecasting, along with their relative advantages and disadvantages. Next, the article assesses the performance of the Atlanta Fed … Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) model in terms of forecasting turning points relative to a well-known alternative, the …