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combination of a flattening of the Phillips curve and increasing sensitivity of inflation to long-run inflation expectations … policy. For instance, the better anchoring of current inflation to long-term expectations suggests that the traditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272827
The article looks at the energy markets from a macroeconomic perspective. It first describes the main trends in the production and consumption of energy. Belgium is characterised by a high degree of energy dependency, since it no longer has any fossil fuel resources and renewable energy is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367068
interest rate channel has become less effective. Given that better anchored inflation expectations are the main reason for this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009357684
The article presents the Bank’s new macroeconomic projections. For the first time, and in accordance with the change in the publication of the euro area projections by the ECB, the projection period includes the year t+2, in this case 2016. It should be stressed that the uncertainty around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272826
The current economic situation in the euro area is causing serious concern. While the measures adopted by the European authorities since the end of 2011 did temporarily ease the uncertainty and financial tensions at the beginning of 2012, renewed nervousness on the sovereign debt markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272830
than just the headline consumer confidence and business sentiment indicators. In this connection, demand expectations in … the manufacturing industry and the unemployment expectations in the consumer survey consistently feature among the best …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272842
expectations for the euro area. The volume of GDP is forecast to grow by 0.2 % this year and 1.1 % in 2014. Given the weakness of … rules applicable to the Eurosystem’s forecasting exercises, public finances are expected to end the year 2013 with a deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272862
Since the publication of the Bank’s previous macroeconomic projections in June 2012, the global economic environment has become much less buoyant. In the euro area, economic activity is now also slowing down rapidly in countries that were previously less affected by the crisis. Against this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272863
This article presents the Bank’s new macroeconomic projections for 2014-2016. They have been produced for the first time on the basis of the national accounts ESA 2010. They already take account of the measures adopted by the new federal government and the federated entities in accordance with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272870
The Bank’s new macroeconomic projections for 2013 and 2014 were produced in a low-key international context featuring wide variations in performance between the main economic regions and an apparent disconnect between the real economy and the financial sphere. On the one hand, a vigorous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272871