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In order to maintain its credibility, however, the FOMC will have to take actions consistent with achieving its stated inflation objective.
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Weak lending may still be the culprit behind low inflation, but monetary aggregates may no longer closely track credit conditions.
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Policymakers should not think of price stability and economic stability as competing objectives but as complements - the best way to achieve the latter is to be firmly committed to achieving the former.
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Inflation is seldom caused by lump-sum transfers but is often caused by higher government spending programs.
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The sale of typical securities would force the Fed to contract its lending programs, whereas the sale of Fed bills would not.
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If oil prices continue to rise and the RMB continues to appreciate, the U.S. inflation rate may increase at a faster pace in the near future. And this would have an unwelcome impact on consumers’ wallets.
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Oil price shocks appear to have only transitory effects on headline inflation and virtually no impact on measures of underlying trend inflation.
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Large-scale asset purchases may have limited power to raise TIPS-implied inflation expectations—something that might appeal to policymakers fighting deflation.
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The effect of QE2 on interest rates could be small and limited to an announcement effect.
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The FOMC’s “mandate-consistent inflation rate” is generally judged to be “about 2 percent or a bit below.”
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