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Current excess reserves could create a massive increase in the money supply if banks significantly increase their lending or investing.
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Greater transparency is a means to better synchronize the public with policymakers and minimize the risks of undesirable economic outcomes.
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It's hard to make a firm prediction as to when the Fed will raise interest rates.
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The FOMC’s two-pronged approach involves a potential conflict: forward guidance assumes a high degree of substitutability across the maturity structure, while quantitative easing assumes a low degree.
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On balance, the figure suggests that structural unemployment during economic downturns has increased since 1991.
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Permanent increases in the monetary base foreshadow eventual increases in inflation that can increase, rather than reduce, unemployment.
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In order to maintain its credibility, however, the FOMC will have to take actions consistent with achieving its stated inflation objective.
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Weak lending may still be the culprit behind low inflation, but monetary aggregates may no longer closely track credit conditions.
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Inflation is seldom caused by lump-sum transfers but is often caused by higher government spending programs.
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The sale of typical securities would force the Fed to contract its lending programs, whereas the sale of Fed bills would not.
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