Showing 21 - 30 of 97
Adequate infrastructure has long been viewed as an important factor in economic development. Based on regressions covering 76 advanced and emerging market economies, this paper estimates the impact of infrastructure and investment on income distribution. It finds that better infrastructure, both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085619
This paper applies the work of Berg and Ostry (2011) to the SACU region, to identify how inequalities have played a role in growth in each of these countries, and elaborates policy options to mitigate the effects of inequalities and foster growth. Lower income inequalities could lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088730
This paper assesses the effects of fiscal consolidations associated with public debt reduction on medium-term output growth during periods of private debt deleveraging. The analysis covers 107 countries and 79 episodes of public debt reduction driven by discretionary fiscal adjustments during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071366
This study examines the drivers of growth in Sub-Saharan African countries, using aggregate data, from the past decade. We correlate recent growth experience to key determinants of growth, including private and public investment, government consumption, the exchange regime and real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071368
The global financial crisis originated in advanced economies, but had a major impact on emerging markets. The impact, however, was not uniform. Even in a relatively homogenous group of countries such as ASEAN-4 (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand), there were considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072592
The paper examines Senegal's growth performance from the perspective of its povertyreducingand distributional characteristics, and discusses policies that might help makegrowth more inclusive. The main findings are that poverty has fallen in the last two decades,but poverty reduction has slowed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072604
Forecasters often predict continued rapid economic growth into the medium and long term for countries that have recently experienced strong growth. Using long-term forecasts of economic growth from the IMF/World Bank staff Debt Sustainability Analyses for a panel of countries, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049804
I regress real GDP growth rates on the IMF's growth forecasts and find that IMF forecasts behave similarly to those generated by overfitted models, placing too much weight on observable predictors and underestimating the forces of mean reversion. I identify several such variables that explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895122
Using three distinct approaches - statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model - this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main findings include: (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059855
This paper summarizes a suite of early warning models to assess the probabilities of growth, fiscal, and financial crises in advanced economies and emerging markets. We estimate separate signal-extraction models for each type of crisis and sample of countries, and we use our results to generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924257