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~isPartOf:"Economic modelling"
~isPartOf:"Journal of econometrics"
~isPartOf:"NBER working paper series"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Al-Azzam, Moh’d"
~person:"Alvarez, Fernando"
~person:"Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia"
~person:"Gallant, A. Ronald"
~person:"Hong, Harrison"
~subject:"Bayes-Statistik"
~subject:"Börsenkurs"
~subject:"CAPM"
~subject:"Dynamisches Gleichgewicht"
~subject:"Spekulation"
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Al-Azzam, Moh’d
Alvarez, Fernando
Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
Gallant, A. Ronald
Hong, Harrison
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1
Bayesian exploratory factor analysis
Conti, Gabriella
;
Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
183
(
2014
)
1
,
pp. 31-57
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506092
Saved in:
2
Forecasting Crashes : Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices
Chen, Joseph
-
2000
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
Saved in:
3
Quantitative Asset Pricing Implications of Endogenous Solvency Constraints
Alvarez, Fernando
-
1999
We study the asset pricing implications of an economy where solvency constraints are determined to efficiently deter agents from defaulting. We present a simple example for which efficient allocations and all equilibrium elements are characterized analytically. The main model produces large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471854
Saved in:
4
Advisors and Asset Prices : A Model of the Origins of Bubbles
Hong, Harrison
-
2007
We develop a model of asset price bubbles based on the communication process between advisors and investors. Advisors are well-intentioned and want to maximize the welfare of their advisees (like a parent treats a child). But only some advisors understand the new technology (the tech-savvies);...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465142
Saved in:
5
Rational Pessimism, Rational Exuberance, and Asset Pricing Models
Bansal, Ravi
-
2007
The paper estimates and examines the empirical plausibiltiy of asset pricing models that attempt to explain features of financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004), low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465547
Saved in:
6
Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles
Hong, Harrison
-
2005
We model the relationship between asset float (tradeable shares) and speculative bubbles. Investors trade a stock with limited float because of insider lock-ups. They have heterogeneous beliefs due to overconfidence and face short-sales constraints. A bubble arises as price overweighs optimists'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467316
Saved in:
7
Simple Forecasts and Paradigm Shifts
Hong, Harrison
-
2003
done better over the same period. This
theory
makes several distinctive predictions, which, for concreteness, we develop in … a stock-market setting. For example, starting with symmetric and homoskedastic fundamentals, the
theory
yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468685
Saved in:
8
The Size of the Permanent Component of Asset Pricing Kernels
Alvarez, Fernando
-
2001
We derive a lower bound for the size of the permanent component of asset pricing kernels. The bound is based on return properties of long-term zero-coupon bonds, risk-free bonds, and other risky securities. We find the permanent component of the pricing kernel to be very large; its volatility is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470360
Saved in:
9
Using Asset Prices to Measure the Cost of Business Cycles
Alvarez, Fernando
-
2000
We propose a method to measure the welfare cost of economic fluctuations that does not require full specification of consumer preferences and instead uses asset prices. The method is based on the marginal cost of consumption fluctuations, the per unit benefit of a marginal reduction in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470758
Saved in:
10
Achieving shrinkage in a time-varying parameter model framework
Bitto, Angela
;
Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
- In:
Journal of econometrics
210
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 75-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303379
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