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Taylor rules with real-time data : a tale of two countries and one exchange rate
Molodtsova, Tanya; Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex; Papell, … - In: Journal of monetary economics 55 (2008), pp. 63-79
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790029
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What do asset prices have to say about risk appetite and uncertainty?
Bekaert, Geert; Hoerova, Marie; Scheicher, Martin - 2009
methodology to monthly data from both Germany and the US. We find that implied volatilities contain a substantial amount of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832589
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Measuring major and minor cycles in univariate economic time series
Fukuda, Kosei - In: Economic modelling 26 (2009) 5, pp. 1093-1100
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871284
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Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons
Fornari, Fabio; Lemke, Wolfgang - 2010
We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely … reached for the United States, the ProbVAR forecasts are slightly worse for Germany, but considerably inferior for Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688529
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Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model
Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo - 2010
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688538
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Reverse causality in global current accounts
Schnabl, Gunther; Freitag, Stephan - 2010
Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. - Global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544
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Cyclicality of real wages in the USA and Germany : new insights from wavelet analysis
Marczak, Martyna; Gómez, Víctor - In: Economic modelling 47 (2015), pp. 40-52
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437805
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Unions, wage setting and monetary policy uncertainty
Grüner, Hans Peter (contributor); Hayo, Bernd (contributor) - 2005
Recent theoretical research has studied extensively the link between wage setting and monetary policymaking in unionized economies. This paper addresses the question of the role of monetary uncertainty from both an empirical and theoretical point of view. Our analysis is based on a simple model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003014303
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Monetary policy's role in exchange rate behavior
Faust, Jon; Rogers, John H. - In: Journal of monetary economics 50 (2003) 7, pp. 1403-1424
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001817474
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The dynamics of a small open economy in response to monetary, fiscal and productivity shocks
Cardia, Emanuela - In: Journal of monetary economics 28 (1991) 3, pp. 411-434
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001115724