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Taylor rules with real-time data : a tale of two countries and one exchange rate
Molodtsova, Tanya; Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex; Papell, … - In: Journal of monetary economics 55 (2008), pp. 63-79
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790029
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The relationship between economic growth and real uncertainty in the G3
Fountas, Stilianos; Karanasos, Menelaos - In: Economic modelling 23 (2006) 4, pp. 638-647
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003353913
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Measuring major and minor cycles in univariate economic time series
Fukuda, Kosei - In: Economic modelling 26 (2009) 5, pp. 1093-1100
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871284
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Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons
Fornari, Fabio; Lemke, Wolfgang - 2010
We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely … reached for the United States, the ProbVAR forecasts are slightly worse for Germany, but considerably inferior for Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688529
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Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model
Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo - 2010
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688538
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Reverse causality in global current accounts
Schnabl, Gunther; Freitag, Stephan - 2010
Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. - Global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544
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Nonlinear dynamics in exchange rate deviations from the monetary fundamentals : an empirical study
Kim, Bonghan; Min, Hong-ghi; Moh, Young-kyu - In: Economic modelling 27 (2010) 5, pp. 1167-1177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008824894
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Productivity shocks and real exchange rates
Alexius, Annika - In: Journal of monetary economics 52 (2005) 3, pp. 555-566
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002837050
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Unions, wage setting and monetary policy uncertainty
Grüner, Hans Peter (contributor); Hayo, Bernd (contributor) - 2005
Recent theoretical research has studied extensively the link between wage setting and monetary policymaking in unionized economies. This paper addresses the question of the role of monetary uncertainty from both an empirical and theoretical point of view. Our analysis is based on a simple model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003014303
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Real exchange rates and real interest differentials : implications of nonlinear adjustment in real exchange rates
Nakagawa, Hironobu - In: Journal of monetary economics 49 (2002) 3, pp. 629-649
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001664348