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Taylor rules with real-time data : a tale of two countries and one exchange rate
Molodtsova, Tanya; Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex; Papell, … - In: Journal of monetary economics 55 (2008), pp. 63-79
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790029
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The forecasting power of international yield curve linkages
Modugno, Michele; Nikolaou, Kleopatra - 2009
(the US, Germany and the UK). This novel methodology is based on dynamic factor models, the EM algorithm and the Kalman … reveal clear international dependency patterns, strong enough to improve forecasts of Germany and to a lesser extent UK. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832611
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Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons
Fornari, Fabio; Lemke, Wolfgang - 2010
We forecast recession probabilities for the United States, Germany and Japan. The predictions are based on the widely … reached for the United States, the ProbVAR forecasts are slightly worse for Germany, but considerably inferior for Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688529
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Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model
Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo - 2010
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688538
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Money growth and inflation: a regime switching approach
Amisano, Gianni; Fagan, Gabriel - 2010
regimes (high and low inflation). Using Bayesian techniques, we apply the model to the euro area, Germany, the US, the UK and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973538
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Reverse causality in global current accounts
Schnabl, Gunther; Freitag, Stephan - 2010
Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. - Global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544
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Unions, wage setting and monetary policy uncertainty
Grüner, Hans Peter (contributor); Hayo, Bernd (contributor) - 2005
Recent theoretical research has studied extensively the link between wage setting and monetary policymaking in unionized economies. This paper addresses the question of the role of monetary uncertainty from both an empirical and theoretical point of view. Our analysis is based on a simple model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003014303
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Monetary policy's role in exchange rate behavior
Faust, Jon; Rogers, John H. - In: Journal of monetary economics 50 (2003) 7, pp. 1403-1424
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001817474
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The dynamics of a small open economy in response to monetary, fiscal and productivity shocks
Cardia, Emanuela - In: Journal of monetary economics 28 (1991) 3, pp. 411-434
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001115724
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Monetary shocks in the G-6 countries : is there a puzzle?
Fung, Ben Siu-cheong - In: Journal of monetary economics 42 (1998) 3, pp. 575-592
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001250322