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This paper conducts an extensive forecasting study on 13,118 time series measuring Swiss goods exports, grouped hierarchically by export destination and product category. We apply existing state of the art methods in forecast reconciliation and introduce a novel Bayesian reconciliation...
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the fiscal policy measures taken in Switzerland. Then we use simulations with the KOF macroeconomic model to assess the … effects on the Swiss economy of a) the Swiss measures on the one hand and b) the fiscal stimulus packages taken by Switzerland … stimulus packages in Switzerland and abroad, we re-run the KOF macroeconometric model counterfactually, modifying the variables …
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This paper leverages a novel survey among German senior government officials to investigate fiscal responses to monetary policy shocks. Using randomized vignette treatments, we present officials with scenarios of increased government interest costs and analyze their expected fiscal adjustments....
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