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The concept of NAIRU summarized the observed negative correlation between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate for a number of countries. This correlation persuaded some analysts of the impossibility for governments to simultaneously target both low unemployment and price stability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112751
This paper revisits the empirical existence of the Phillips curve in the Indian context. To estimate the Phillips curve we need two variables – inflation and the output gap. In the case of India, incorrect measurement of both variables causes much difficulty in estimating the Phillipscurve. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147871
We investigate inflation dynamics and the presence of the cost channel in ten emerging markets since the 1990's from the new Keynesian and triangle Phillips curve perspectives. A negative sign on the output gap is a common finding in new Keynesian specifications. This problem may be addressed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109959
Much of the US inflation forecasting literature deals with examining the ability of macroeconomic indicators to predict the mean of future inflation, and the overwhelming evidence suggests that the macroeconomic indicators provide little or no predictability. In this paper, we expand the scope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836192
We propose an estimation method of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) based on a univariate noncausal autoregressive model for the inflation rate. By construction, our approach avoids a number of problems related to the GMM estimation of the NKPC. We estimate the hybrid NKPC with quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927063
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003408605
The modern economic theory implemented today is inherently flawed. Unfortunately these flaws are not apparent in contemporary economic theory which is built on the idea that scarcity is an ever present condition; an approach referred to as scarce resource theory (SRT) in operating level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009203644
The marketplace, along with its price system, is the single most important institution in a western-style free enterprise economy. The ability of prices to adjust to changes in supply and demand conditions enables the market to function efficiently and lies behind the magical invisible hand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835391
The price system, the adjustment of prices to changes in market conditions, is the primary mechanism by which markets function and by which the three most basic questions get answered: what to produce, how much to produce and for whom to produce. To the behaviour of price and price system,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836108
This paper analyzes the transmission of inflation across the five largest economies in the European Monetary Union, i.e. France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Spain. We use monthly CPI inflation rates for the period 1970-2006. Given the long observation period and the continuing economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836128