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We study rollover risk and collateral value in a dynamic asset pricing model with endogenous debt financing by … news. We demonstrate the optimality of the maximum riskless short-term debt financing for optimistic borrowers even in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108308
The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market---rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities---led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is benign, but when they occur...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150910
One measure of the health of the Social Security system is the difference between the market value of the trust fund and the present value of benefits accrued to date. How should present values be computed for this calculation in light of future uncertainties? We think it is important to use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157914
, even when both extend life equally. This asymmetry helps explain low observed investment in preventive care. Second, severe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911078
other industrialized countries, between rich and poor countries, and among poor countries. But accounting for the cost of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759205
Implicit government obligations represent the lion's share of government liabilities in the U.S. and many other countries. Yet these liabilities are rarely measured, let alone properly adjusted for their risk. This paper shows, by example, how modern asset pricing can be used to value implicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438463
firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of … returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend … strips. Our model delivers testable predictions about the behavior of firm-level real variables - investment and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107998
probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … of business cycle dynamics, especially sharp downturns in investment and output such as 2008-IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
I study irreversible investment decisions when projects take time to complete, and are subject to two types of …, and materials that will ultimately be required to complete the project, and that is only resolved as the investment … required, and which is external to the firm's investment activity. I derive a simple decision rule that maximizes the firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774773