Showing 1 - 10 of 289
We study optimal labor and savings distortions in a lifecycle model with idiosyncratic shocks. We show a tight …-based expressions for the dynamic optimal distortions. We derive a generalization of a savings distortion for non-separable preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117883
The budget constraint requires that, eventually, consumption must adjust fully to any permanent shock to income. Intuition suggests that, knowing this, optimizing agents will fully adjust their spending immediately upon experiencing a permanent shock. However, this paper shows that if consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151558
oversupply of savings. Other forces that work in the same direction and can both create or exacerbate the problem include a drop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045296
This paper examines the extent to which permanent terms-of-trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings … in bad states of nature, savings rates will respond asymmetrically to favorable movements in the permanent component of … standard determinants of private savings. The results, based on panel data for non-oil commodity exporters of sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244885
the firm's exposure to IST shocks and risk premia. Our calibrated model replicates: i) the predictability of returns by … returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107998
refer to this measure of volatility as 'risk'. We find that fluctuations in risk are the most important shock driving the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088691
shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … variation in risk premia over time, are observationally equivalent to preference shocks. An increase in the perceived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
featuring consumption externalities, recursive utility, and jump risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154476
Using climate change as a prototype motivating example, this paper analyzes the implications of structural uncertainty for the economics of low-probability high-impact catastrophes. The paper shows that having an uncertain multiplicative parameter, which scales or amplifies exogenous shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775805
We study the effect of releasing public information about productivity or monetary shocks when agents learn from nominal prices. While public releases have the benefit of providing new information, they can have the cost of reducing the informational efficiency of the price system. We show that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770589