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Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks : Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and After the Global Financial Crisis of 2008
Aizenman, Joshua - 2017
The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214
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Current Account Adjustment : Some New Theory and Evidence
Ju, Jiandong - 2007
This paper aims to provide a theory of current account adjustment that generalizes the textbook version of the intertemporal approach to current account and places domestic labor market institutions at the center stage. In general, in response to a shock, an economy adjusts through a combination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465262
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Capital Flows in a Globalized World : The Role of Policies and Institutions
Alfaro, Laura - 2005
We describe the patterns of international capital flows in the period 1970 - 2000. We then examine the determinants of capital flows and capital flows volatility during this period. We find that institutional quality is an important determinant of capital flows. Historical determinants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466976
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What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS Spreads and Market Pricing of Risk
Aizenman, Joshua - 2011
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461251
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Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?
Aizenman, Joshua - 2020
We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987
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On the Size Distribution of Macroeconomic Disasters
Barro, Robert J. - 2009
equity premium involves a race between `alpha` and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, `gamma`. A higher `alpha …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463402
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Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID : Does it ‘Get in all of the Cracks?'
Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021
We study the effects of fiscal policy in response to the COVID-19 pandemic at the firm, sector, country and global level. First, we estimate the impact of COVID-19 and policy responses on small and medium sized enterprise (SME) business failures. We combine firm-level financial data from 50...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629513
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Economic Effects of Currency Unions
Tenreyro, Silvana - 2003
This paper develops a new instrumental-variable (IV) approach to estimate the effects of different exchange rate regimes on bilateral outcomes. The basic idea is that the characteristics of the exchange rate regime between two countries (exchange rate variability, fixed or float, autonomous or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469268
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Corporate Debt, Boom-Bust Cycles, and Financial Crises
Ivashina, Victoria; Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Laeven, Luc; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Using a new dataset on sectoral credit exposures covering financial and non-financial sectors in 115 economies over the period 1940-2014, we document the following evidence that corporate debt plays a key role in explaining boom-bust cycles, financial crises, and slow macroeconomic recoveries:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512079
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Fiscal Stimulus and Commercial Bank Lending Under COVID-19
Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Spiegel, Mark - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We investigate the implications of extra-normal government spending under the COVID-19 pandemic for commercial bank lending growth between 2019Q4 and 2020Q4 in a large sample of over 3000 banks from 71 countries. We control for pre-pandemic structural factors, bank characteristics and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172181