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Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks : Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and After the Global Financial Crisis of 2008
Aizenman, Joshua - 2017
The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214
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Current Account Adjustment : Some New Theory and Evidence
Ju, Jiandong - 2007
This paper aims to provide a theory of current account adjustment that generalizes the textbook version of the intertemporal approach to current account and places domestic labor market institutions at the center stage. In general, in response to a shock, an economy adjusts through a combination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465262
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What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS Spreads and Market Pricing of Risk
Aizenman, Joshua - 2011
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461251
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Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?
Aizenman, Joshua - 2020
We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987
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On the Size Distribution of Macroeconomic Disasters
Barro, Robert J. - 2009
equity premium involves a race between `alpha` and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, `gamma`. A higher `alpha …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463402
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The Aftermath of Financial Crises
Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2009
major post-World War II episodes. The main cause of debt explosions is usually not the widely cited costs of bailing out and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463993
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Why Is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?
Ilzetzki, Ethan - 2020
On the twentieth anniversary of its inception, the euro has yet to expand its role as an international currency. We document this fact with a wide range of indicators including its role as an anchor or reference in exchange rate arrangements--which we argue is a portmanteau measure--and as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479284
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Economic Effects of Currency Unions
Tenreyro, Silvana - 2003
This paper develops a new instrumental-variable (IV) approach to estimate the effects of different exchange rate regimes on bilateral outcomes. The basic idea is that the characteristics of the exchange rate regime between two countries (exchange rate variability, fixed or float, autonomous or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469268
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The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements : A Reinterpretation
Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2002
We develop a novel system of re-classifying historical exchange rate regimes. One difference between our study and previous classification efforts is that we employ an extensive data base on market-determined parallel exchange rates. Our 'natural' classification algorithm leads to a stark...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469751
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The Social Costs of Sovereign Default
Farah-Yacoub, Juan P.; Luckner, Clemens von <Graf>; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
This paper investigates the economic and social consequences of sovereign default on external debt. We focus on the crises' impact on real per capita GDP, infant mortality, life expectancy, poverty headcounts, and calorie supply per capita. After methodological exclusions, the sample covers 221...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576629