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The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461251
We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987
equity premium involves a race between `alpha` and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, `gamma`. A higher `alpha …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463402
This paper develops a new instrumental-variable (IV) approach to estimate the effects of different exchange rate regimes on bilateral outcomes. The basic idea is that the characteristics of the exchange rate regime between two countries (exchange rate variability, fixed or float, autonomous or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469268
We investigate the implications of extra-normal government spending under the COVID-19 pandemic for commercial bank lending growth between 2019Q4 and 2020Q4 in a large sample of over 3000 banks from 71 countries. We control for pre-pandemic structural factors, bank characteristics and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172181
risk is the dominant force, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the economy has a representative … difference between the power-law tail parameter and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, γ. The options-pricing formula …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456784
. However, in a Lucas-tree world, the aggregate risk is given by the process for GDP and cannot be altered by the creation of … will be nil. With heterogeneity in coefficients of relative risk aversion, safe assets can take the form of private bond … issues from low-risk-aversion to high-risk-aversion agents. The model assumes Epstein-Zin/Weil preferences with common values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458013
major features of asset prices and returns, such as the high equity premium and low risk-free rate. A Lucas-tree model with … rare but large disasters is such a framework. In a baseline simulation, the welfare cost of disaster risk is large … -- society would be willing to lower real GDP by about 20% each year to eliminate all disaster risk, including wars. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465898
Controls on capital inflows have been experiencing a renaissance since 2008, with several prominent emerging markets implementing them. We focus on Brazil, which instituted five changes in its capital account regime in 2008-2011. Using the synthetic control method, we construct counterfactuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459458