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This paper aims to provide a theory of current account adjustment that generalizes the textbook version of the intertemporal approach to current account and places domestic labor market institutions at the center stage. In general, in response to a shock, an economy adjusts through a combination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465262
This paper develops a new instrumental-variable (IV) approach to estimate the effects of different exchange rate regimes on bilateral outcomes. The basic idea is that the characteristics of the exchange rate regime between two countries (exchange rate variability, fixed or float, autonomous or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469268
equity premium involves a race between `alpha` and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, `gamma`. A higher `alpha …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463402
Does finance follow the real economy, or the other way around? This paper unites the two competing schools of thought in a general equilibrium framework. Our key result is that there are threshold effects defined by a set of deep institutional parameters (cost of financial intermediation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464662
the world than many developing countries. A noteworthy feature of this theory is that financial and property rights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465505
major features of asset prices and returns, such as the high equity premium and low risk-free rate. A Lucas-tree model with … rare but large disasters is such a framework. In a baseline simulation, the welfare cost of disaster risk is large … -- society would be willing to lower real GDP by about 20% each year to eliminate all disaster risk, including wars. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465898
risk is the dominant force, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the economy has a representative … difference between the power-law tail parameter and the coefficient of relative risk aversion, γ. The options-pricing formula …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456784
. However, in a Lucas-tree world, the aggregate risk is given by the process for GDP and cannot be altered by the creation of … will be nil. With heterogeneity in coefficients of relative risk aversion, safe assets can take the form of private bond … issues from low-risk-aversion to high-risk-aversion agents. The model assumes Epstein-Zin/Weil preferences with common values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458013
Because of a small direct negative effect on private spending, temporary variations in government purchases as in wartime, would have a strong positive effect on aggregate demand. Intertemporal substitution effects would direct work and production toward these periods where output was valued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478713
For U.S. annual data that include WWII, the estimated multiplier for temporary defense spending is 0.4-0.5 contemporaneously and 0.6-0.7 over two years. If the change in defense spending is "permanent" (gauged by Ramey's defense-news variable), the multipliers are higher by 0.1-0.2. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463281