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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391670
China''s sectoral trade composition, product quality mix, and import content of processing exports have all changed … very wide. All this suggests greater caution in using historical data to simulate the response of the China''s economy to … external shocks and exchange rate changes. Analyses based on models whose estimated coefficients largely reflect the China of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401157
The strong US policy response to the 2008-09 financial crisis raised concerns about its impact (spillovers) on other countries, with great focus on the monetary stimulus but little attention to fiscal policy, despite their combined deployment. Using a sign-restricted structural VAR approach, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742995
Monetary policy entails demand augmenting and demand diverting effects, with its impact on the trade balance-and spillovers to other countries-depending on the relative magnitude of these opposing effects. Using US data, and a sign-restricted structural VAR identification strategy, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704903
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543155
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Until 2012, the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) used its policy rate to stabilise the rial's exchange rate and, given a persistent current-account surplus, had accumulated sizeable currency reserves. In 2012, however, international sanctions against Iran intensified and the value of the rial halved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285456
There is an ongoing debate in the literature on whether global trade flows have become disconnected from the large real effective exchange rate movements in the wake of the global financial crisis. The question has important policy implications for the role of exchange rates in supporting growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102059
After the decline in oil prices, many oil exporters face the need to improve their external balances. Special characteristics of oil exporters make the exchange rate an ineffective instrument for this purpose and give fiscal policy a sizeable role. These conclusions are supported by regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711426
This paper uses an intertemporal optimizing model of a small open economy to analyze how terms of trade changes affect real exchange rates and the trade balance. We consider temporary current, anticipated future, and permanent changes in the terms of trade. The results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396150