In this study, we set up a framework to generate the forecasts of growth in aggregate demand and its components using real-time data. In general, these forecasts (for 1983-2008) accurately predict directional change under symmetric loss and are thus of value to a user who assigns similar cost...

In this study, we set up a framework to generate the forecasts of growth in aggregate demand and its components using real-time data. In general, these forecasts (for 1983-2008) accurately predict directional change under symmetric loss and are thus of value to a user who assigns similar cost...

This paper examines the linear and nonlinear causal relationships between commodity price indices and macroeconomic variables such as the consumer price index (CPI) and the industrial production index (IP) in the Euro zone. We use monthly time series data from January 1999 to December 2011 and...

We present empirical evidence regarding differences in unemployment dynamics across gender for a group of twenty-three OECD countries. Our results indicate that there are substantial differences in the unemployment persistence for men and women across countries. Further, the female unemployment...

In this paper, we document the intensive and extensive margin adjustments of labor market in Turkey and US. We find that both margins are important. More interestingly, the weight of intensive margin adjustment does not differ substantially between the two countries. Common wisdom and some...

Using recently-available data from the New Immigrant Survey, we find that previous self-employment experience in an immigrant's country of origin is an important determinant of self-employment status in the U.S., increasing the probability of being self-employed by about 7 percent relative to an...

The aim of this article is to analyse the consequences of the constraint of shareholder value creation on wages and on unemployment rates in equilibrium. We will show that the shareholder value created by a firm directly depends on the payroll. Therefore, both the firm's and the Unions' new...

Following a positive technology shock, a flexible price monetary model with catching up with the Joneses utility function can easily generate a negative and persistent decline in employment. When the effect of relative consumption is large, the model also produces a small short run response of...

In 1993, World Bank defined Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand as HPAEs (High-Performing Asian Economies). World Bank admired their high growth. In this paper, we evaluate the result of total package of their policy, Rapid Growth and Macroeconomic Stability....

The present study is an effort to examine econometrically the presence of threshold level of inflation for India, in an environment where expected inflation is in double digit. This upward pressure on inflation is mainly due to rise in food prices; and high investment due to surge in domestic...