This paper attempts to examine empirically the dynamic relationship between inflation, growth and interest rate under the presence of informal economy by employing panel VAR techniques over the period from 1960-Q1 to 2010-Q4. The size of the informal economy is quarterly estimated to uncover the...

To account for currency substitution, most studies today include exchange rate as a determinant of the demand for money, in addition to income and interest rate. This tradition goes back to Robert Mundell who introduced this notion in 1963. In this paper, we demonstrate that the failure to find...

People are consumers and voters. Their sentiment about the economy and the competence of their leaders determine their confidence level. This research note investigates whether economic conditions measured by changes in the recent consumption level modify the dynamics of confidence formation....

We add learning-by-doing to firms technology in an imperfectly competitive Ramsey model and study optimal interest rate. Our main result is that the Ramsey allocation features an inverse relationship between optimal nominal interest rate and the degree of learning rate. We show that a...

This paper introduces statistical learning in an asset pricing model of differences of opinions. I show that the model converges to the unique rational-expectation equilibrium and furthermore I show that asset prices drift predictably in its neighborhood. Accordingly, the model offers a unifying...

This paper examines, for the Brazilian case, if break-even inflation rates (BEIR) extracted from fixed income securities are an unbiased estimator of consumer inflation, measured by the CPI. Our estimates suggest that BEIRs are informative about future inflation, especially for the maturity of...

In this paper, we propose a nonlinear multivariate GARCH-M model. We have illustrated the actual modelling by applying the models to inflation and output growth variables and found that the effects of real and nominal uncertainties are regime-dependent.

We investigate the causal relationship between money, income and price for Pakistan using quarterly data from 1971-2003. We find that both money supply and prices cause income thus verifying the monetarists' point of view. Taking account of time series properties the methodology applies recent...

The adjustment of nominal wages to inflation has implications on the labor market as well as on other areas in economics. In this paper, we employ the Blanchard and Katz (1997, 1999) model of nominal wage determination and try to estimate the adjustment speed. By using the bounds testing...

In this paper, I examine to what extent Asian exchange rates are coordinated around a synthetic Asian Currency Unit (ACU) defined as a basket of Asian currencies. Using a VAR model, the results provide some evidence of stabilization among Asian exchange rates around the ACU. Although the US...