The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is one of the key variables to which economists pay considerable attention for assessing US economic activities, particularly, business conditions in the manufacturing sector. Although the PMI has been used to assess the US economy, there is hardly any...

Time-to-build completion rates can be estimated individually, under the restrictions that they are positive values summing up to one. As an alternative strategy, we may use the beta distribution as a restriction and calculate the corresponding completion rates collectively. The estimation...

This paper investigates the effect of confidence on the Japanese economy by using vector autoregressions. Especially, I divide the total estimation period into two parts, pre- and post-bubble periods, and analyze the transition of that effect through the ages. It is shown that consumer...

In this study, we set up a framework to generate the forecasts of growth in aggregate demand and its components using real-time data. In general, these forecasts (for 1983-2008) accurately predict directional change under symmetric loss and are thus of value to a user who assigns similar cost...

In this study, we set up a framework to generate the forecasts of growth in aggregate demand and its components using real-time data. In general, these forecasts (for 1983-2008) accurately predict directional change under symmetric loss and are thus of value to a user who assigns similar cost...

Following a positive technology shock, a flexible price monetary model with catching up with the Joneses utility function can easily generate a negative and persistent decline in employment. When the effect of relative consumption is large, the model also produces a small short run response of...

This paper examines an intricate relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate in the Philippines by employing several economic methods, including the dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) (Stock and Watson, 1993) and the Hodrick-Prescott filter (Hodrick and Prescott, 1997). The...

Following a positive technology shock, a flexible price monetary model with catching up with the Joneses utility function can easily generate a negative and persistent decline in employment. When the effect of relative consumption is large, the model also produces a small short run response of...

In 1993, World Bank defined Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand as HPAEs (High-Performing Asian Economies). World Bank admired their high growth. In this paper, we evaluate the result of total package of their policy, Rapid Growth and Macroeconomic Stability....

This study deals primarily with the construction of a new measure of estimating the response of different economies towards the current economic crisis that starts in 2007 in the US financial sector and is leaving grave consequences on the European economies, particularly in the euro-zone. We...