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This paper will investigate the Granger causality between foreign reserves and economic growth in twenty largest reserves-holding countries ranging from 1980 to 2008. The method of first-differencing each variable is used to estimate the panel data VAR equations for Granger causality test. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643986
In this paper, we examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), exports and economic growth in Jordan by applying bounds testing procedure suggested by Pesaran et al. (2001) and Johansen cointegration test (1988,1990). Both cointegration tests reveals, that there is a long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010630260
Pacific island countries (PICs), since the mid 1990s, have been struggling with current account deficits in their balance of payments. Declining aid inflows and contraction in their traditional exports of primary goods along with growing imports of food, fuel and capital and intermediate goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008516060
Empirical studies have found that inflation targeting leads to a fall in real interest rate, macroeconomic uncertainty, exchange rate volatility, and output volatility. Economic theory suggests that those elements should lead to a rise in investment and a fall in private savings. However, Rose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565774
In this article we re-examine the mean-reverting property of the current account for the US, the UK, Canada and France. This is important because a current account that is not a stationary process implies that the external debts are unsustainable. The empirical results show that the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458992
One-sector inter-temporal models of the current account predict that a transitory shock to the terms of trade will lead to improvement in trade balance, while a persistent (or permanent) one could result in trade balance deterioration. This paper reexamines this issue in a two-sector small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009200972
By focusing on the macroeconomic effects of temporary price shocks, this note clarifies the relationships among the terms of trade, the real exchange rate and the current account. This clarification suggests that a real depreciation might prove incapable of bringing the external imbalance back...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884986
During the financial crisis of 2008, the currencies of Latin America faced pressure to devalue— which evoked memories of the “contagious†crises of the 1990s. Yet even between crises, domestic macroeconomic factors can have an impact on a country's exchange market. This study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008483896
This paper analyses the relation between the external and government deficits in a panel of CEEC economies. We first assess by panel unit root tests whether the fiscal and external intertemporal budget constraints hold, and then examine the role of public and private expenditure in the dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008621801
This paper determines the causal link between FDI and corruption in 42 developing countries using linear and non linear panel Granger causal methods over the period 1998 to 2009. The findings show that the outcome of the causal association depends on the method used. The linear panel methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009200970