Showing 1 - 10 of 196
This paper empirically examines the behaviour of exchange rates in order to identify de facto exchange rate regimes in post-crisis Asian countries. We use the multivariate GARCH model to estimate the conditional correlation among the value of currencies, which include the currencies of Thailand,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278638
Applying the autoregressive distributed lag model, this paper examines whether different exchange rate arrangements may affect monetary autonomy. In the short run, all the countries have moderate or significant monetary autonomy due to partial or small adjustments. In the long run, Hong Kong,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278718
One-sector inter-temporal models of the current account predict that a transitory shock to the terms of trade will lead to improvement in trade balance, while a persistent (or permanent) one could result in trade balance deterioration. This paper reexamines this issue in a two-sector small open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009200972
In this paper, we assess the effect of exchange rate movement on macroeconomic performance by differentiating the source of exchange rate movement as either an expansionary monetary policy or a portfolio preference shock using quarterly data from Turkish economy for the period 1987:Q1 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421767
Some theories predict that exchange rate bubbles should deflate faster than they inflate. We find no empirical support for this hypothesis for currencies that floated against the US dollar. The bursting of exchange rate bubbles is not analogous to collapses in the prices of financial assets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563199
Free trade theory of the international macroeconomics suggests, it will improve international trade conditions in form of improvements in terms of trade through promoting productivity in export oriented industries. The paper investigates the dynamic causality for exchange rates and foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010629886
This study has found an empirical support of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory for an East Asia transition economy – Cambodia. It is based on the results of cointegration among KHR/USD, Cambodia CPI, and world CPI over the monthly period May 2001-February 2009. This finding is useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008621798
This paper examines short-run determinants of the U.S. dollar/Malaysian ringgit (USD/MYR) exchange rate based on a simultaneous-equation model. Applying the EGARCH model, the paper finds that the USD/MYR exchange rate is positively associated with the Malaysian real government Treasury bill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011199642
As local exports grow globally, it is important for policymakers to understand the role that exchange rates play on local employment. Using current data, this study first examines business-cycle concordance and synchronization and finds that there is relatively weak correlation between local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011199650
By focusing on the macroeconomic effects of temporary price shocks, this note clarifies the relationships among the terms of trade, the real exchange rate and the current account. This clarification suggests that a real depreciation might prove incapable of bringing the external imbalance back...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884986