By focusing on the macroeconomic effects of temporary price shocks, this note clarifies the relationships among the terms of trade, the real exchange rate and the current account. This clarification suggests that a real depreciation might prove incapable of bringing the external imbalance back...

Recent literature has argued that exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into inflation has been declining following a dramatic change in inflation environment during the 1990s. We formally check this hypothesis for a sample of 12 emerging and developed economies, by making use of a state-space model...

This paper examines the information transmission between stocks and their corresponding deposit receipts (DRs) by collecting samples with good reputations and high liquidity in both markets. Using eight years of daily panel data from six cross-listed Taiwanese firms, our results show the...

In this paper we assess the predictive abilities of a Bayesian threshold vector autoregression (B-TVAR) to forecast the EUR/USD exchange rate. By introducing stochastic search variable selection priors (SSVS), we account for the inherent model uncertainty when it comes to modeling exchange...

In this study, we attempt to estimate the long term determinants of international reserves in the emerging Asian for the period 1980-2011. In this study, we attempt to estimate the long term determinants of international reserves in the emerging Asia for the period 1980-2011. Utilizing a...

We contribute to the literature by studying the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) from major net oil importers (USA, Europe and China) on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. We use panel data methods to estimate different specifications. We find that (i) an increase in EPU...

During recent years, large trade- and budget deficits have accumulated especially in advanced economies. This study examines if this coincidence actually reflects a causal relation. Economic theory and previously documented findings on causality between trade and government balances are...

Central banks usually intervene in order to calm disorderly market conditions, fix exchange rate misalignments, stabilise erratic short-term exchange rate fluctuations, or quell the excess demand/supply of FX. Under a floating regime, the size and timing of intervention are critical policy...

This paper examines the dynamics of the degree of capital mobility for Malaysia for the period 1991Q1-2009Q4. Generally Malaysia has been an open economy for trade, however periodic episodes of capital control such as those in 1994 and 1998 means that the level of capital mobility in Malaysia...

The Greek sovereign debt crisis of 2009/2010 fostered widespread fears of contagion. We analyzed the danger of contagion by studying to which extent news to speculative bubbles in the Greek equity market spread to the equity markets of Portugal, Ireland, Italy, and Spain. To this end, we...