Showing 1 - 10 of 342
This paper examines how indebted countries have reacted to the recent shift in the global debt relief architecture towards rewarding indebted countries that have ‘superior' institutions with increased debt relief by probing whether there is any empirical evidence to suggest that countries may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835982
This paper explores how the U.S. budget deficit affects U.S. economic growth. Time-series data for the 1973-2004 period is applied to a simultaneous equation model to estimate the various direct and indirect effects of budget deficits on growth. The results indicate that, ceteris paribus, an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563087
This paper analyses the relation between the external and government deficits in a panel of CEEC economies. We first assess by panel unit root tests whether the fiscal and external intertemporal budget constraints hold, and then examine the role of public and private expenditure in the dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008621801
This paper explores the relationship between fiscal deficit, trade deficit and private consumption in European countries in the years 1970-2010. The aim of the study is to test empirically the validity and rationale of the Keynesian proposition (conventional view or Twin Deficits hypothesis) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278649
This paper aims to analyze the nexus between disaggregated public spending and GDP in the Euro Area for the period 1990-2010 at a disaggregated level, using a time series approach. We estimated this nexus for ten items of public spending according to the COFOG functional classification. Taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278750
benchmark model in short-term forecasting, where the gains in terms of predictive ability are substantial. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884990
We apply an approach recently developed by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197-1125, 2005) to study whether forecasts of the dollar/British pound exchange rate extracted from a panel of survey data are consistent with an asymmetric loss function. We find that only few forecasters seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278661
in-sample forecasting power but are unable to consistently out-perform naïve benchmarks for out-of-sample forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278792
The current decade was marked by the worst economic and financial crisis since the Great Depression, many economies experiencing a severe contraction of output in late 2008 and early 2009. But, was this evolution of the activity only the result of the domestic factors or a certain form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596624
We empirically investigate the impact of shocks to world crude oil prices on retail gasoline prices in Turkey during the 1991-2007 period. Using a Structural-VAR methodology and monthly frequency data, we report that Turkish retail gasoline prices respond significantly to increasing world crude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563094