The frequency of financial market turmoil has been rising over the past two decades. While the incidence of market turmoil has increased, the performance of analysts during tumultuous times has not received much attention in the literature. This paper examines whether the accuracy of analyst...

Previous studies on technical analysis mostly report the profitability of specific trading rules for a given set of historical data. In this paper, we use the human trader experiment approach to compare the performance of experienced and novice traders. It is found that traders who are more...

In the literature, there is a lack of empirical studies documenting the profitability of volume-based technical indicators. This paper evaluates the profitability of the On-Balance Volume (OBV) trading rule. Our result shows that the OBV trading rule is increasingly profitable and rewards...

This note examines how the network externalities of communications activities and trading opportunities interact to determine the structure of comparative advantage between countries. These interactions are obtained by constructing a two-country, two-sector model of trade involving a...

This note examines how the network externalities of communications activities and trading opportunities interact to determine the structure of comparative advantage between countries. These interactions are obtained by constructing a two-country, two-sector model of trade involving a...

Most of the existing autoregressive models presume that the observations are perfectly measured. In empirical studies, the variable of interest is unavoidably measured with various kinds of errors. Thus, misleading conclusions may be yielded due to the inconsistency of the parameter estimates...

This paper studies the profitability of the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) trading rule under three different crossing rules: the MACD zero line, the 9-day and 14-day signal lines. It is found that the trading rules perform well in the stock markets of Germany and Hong Kong. Our...

This note examines a new problem in the structural-change literature. A fractionally integrated model is assumed to experience a change in the differencing parameter at an unknown time. We develop consistent estimators of the change point and the pre- and post-shift differencing parameters.

Most of the existing structural-change models presume that the impact of a change is instantaneous and occurs at the same time for all individuals. In this paper, we develop a new structural-change model to measure the lag length between the time when an economic crisis breaks out and the time...

The inflation problem in China has attracted a great deal of international attention in recent years. This paper examines the time series properties of China's CPI series. It is found that the overall inflation series and the inflation of food, tobacco, clothes, urban transport and urban housing...