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Die Vorhersage des Goldpreises mit dem Box-Jenkins-Verfahren/Forecasting Monthly Gold Prices with the Box-Jenkins Approach
Jockel, Karl-Heinz; Pflaumer, Peter - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 196 (1981) 6, pp. 481-502
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014607488
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Die Vorhersage des Goldpreises mit dem Box-Jenkins-Verfahren - Forecasting monthly gold prices with the Box-Jenkins approach
Jöckel, Karl-Heinz; Pflaumer, Peter - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 196 (1981) 6, pp. 481-501
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003162483
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Calculating the variance of errors in population forecasting
Jöckel, Karl-Heinz; Pflaumer, Peter - In: Statistics & Probability Letters 2 (1984) 4, pp. 211-213
For judging the quality of population forecasting methods, the root mean square error (RMSE) has proven to be a useful tool. A suitable variance component model is proposed for calculating the variance of the RMSE. The method is demonstrated by an example.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005319864
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Forecasting the German population with Monte Carlo methods
Pflaumer, Peter - In: Economics Letters 21 (1986) 4, pp. 385-390
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005275755