Showing 1 - 10 of 250
Little is known about the impact of monetary policy on asset prices in emerging markets. This study applies the heteroscedasticity-based GMM for financial markets in Turkey. The results suggest that event study estimates are biased for some asset returns.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041579
This paper compares macroprudential policy and monetary policy using a simple New Keynesian model with credit. Macroprudential policy is effective in stabilizing credit with limited impact on inflation. Monetary policy stabilizes inflation, but is ‘too blunt’ for credit stabilization.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743668
Euler equations are the key link between monetary policy and the real economy in NK models. Under separable preferences, they fail to match interest rates. Non-separability between leisure and consumption significantly improves their fit and reliability for studying monetary policy.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597195
This paper studies empirically the dynamic interactions between asset prices, monetary policy, and aggregate fluctuations in the U.S. during the Volcker–Greenspan period. Results from a simple structural vector autoregression indicate that monetary policy reacts directly to the term spread and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010662377
We challenge the view that the negative correlation between the Federal Funds and the Euler equation interest rate is linked to monetary policy. Using Monte Carlo experiments, we show that the negative correlation can be explained by risk premium disturbances.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665685
Through a finite-lived dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model comprising bubbly capital with fixed supply, one-period gestation lag, and a cash-in-advance constraint, we show that a money-accommodated but not price-accommodated technological shock can trigger excessive movement in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010576486
We analyze whether bank characteristics affect the impact of monetary policy on bank risk. We find that the insulation effects produced by capital and liquidity were lower for banks operating in countries with particularly low interest rates.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580471
We show that the spread-adjusted Taylor rule including a response to the credit spread is a theoretically optimal monetary policy under heterogeneous loan contracts. However, the optimal response to the credit spread is ambiguous, given the financial market structure.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597181
We use probit recession forecasting models to assess the ability of economic policy uncertainty indexes developed by Baker et al. (2013) to predict future US recessions. The model specifications include policy indexes on their own, and in combination with financial variables, such as interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011076573
In this study, we forecast economic policy uncertainty (EPU) using input on 23 commodity price changes. We reveal the significant predictability of EPU using three forecast combinations. This indicates that commodity price changes can be taken as a leading indicator of EPU.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189556