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The maximum likelihood estimator of the adjustment coefficient in a cointegrated vector autoregressive model (CVAR) is generally biased. For the case where the cointegrating vector is known in a first-order CVAR with no intercept, we derive a condition for the unbiasedness of the maximum...
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Kourogenis and Pittis (2008) show that the presence of a variance shift implies that the OLS t-statistic in a triangular cointegrated model displays asymptotic size distortions. For the same model, this paper provides two simple solutions to the size problems, the first based on White (1980)...
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This paper studies the model equation YT = [lambda]YT - 1 + [alpha]0XT + [alpha]1XT - 1 and its error-correction equivalent as a temporal aggregate of an underlying true equation in continuous time. Given a stylized fact about [alpha]0 / [alpha]1 we find that...
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