We show that financial development has a non-monotonic effect on growth in the Rajan and Zingales (1998) and Fisman and Love (2007) sample. Beyond a threshold, financially dependent industries and industries facing good growth opportunities grow disproportionately more slowly.

Two-step estimation with large panel data sets generally involves estimating vectors of individual-specific coefficients in a first-stage. In a second-stage estimation a vector of estimated coefficients is used as the dependent variable. Potential problems of heteroskedasticity in the second...

We examine the efficiency of German forecasts for output growth and inflation allowing for an asymmetric loss function of the forecasters. We find the loss of output growth forecasts to be approximately symmetric while there is an asymmetry in the loss of the inflation forecasts. The information...

GARCH volatilities depend on the unconditional variance, which is a non-linear function of the parameters. Consequently, they can have larger biases than estimated parameters. Using robust methods to estimate both parameters and volatilities is shown to outperform Maximum Likelihood procedures.

We examine how Bank of Canada communications and media reporting on them impacts Canadian bond and stock market returns. Official communications exert a relatively larger influence on the bond market, whereas media coverage is more relevant for the stock market.

We extend the pioneering work of Aumann–Serrano by presenting an index of riskiness for gambles with either positive or negative expectations. It can be of use for a variety of abstract behaviors, when adapting the framework of either Expected-Utility Theory or Prospect Theory.

This paper is the first to employ a multivariate extension of the LHAR–CJ model for realized volatility of Corsi and Renó (2012) considering continuous and jump volatility components and leverage effects. The model is applied to financial (S&P 500), commodity (WTI crude oil) and forex...

This paper applies the new procedure developed by Bai and Ng (2006a) to explore the relation between the Fama–French factors and the latent risk factors in China’s stock market. The results show that the Fama–French factors are good proxies for risk factors of portfolios. For individual...

In this paper, we study the Jarque–Bera (JB) and cusum tests for the normality of innovations and parameter change in BCTT-GARCH models. In order to demonstrate the validity of JB normality and cusum parameter change tests, we derive their limiting null distributions under mild conditions.

Analysing administrative sales data in a quasi-experimental framework, we show that smoking bans did not impact the economic activity of bars and restaurants in Switzerland. However, we find some evidence of a negative impact on sales in discos.