Branch (2014) shows that the asymmetric preference of professional forecasters enhances the fit of the original Taylor rule with respect to recent US monetary policy. This paper investigates the stability of the Taylor rule with asymmetric preference under adaptive learning. We find that when...

In New Keynesian models, Taylor rules move real rates in the same direction as the natural rate, but less than one-for-one. Permanent, positive technology shocks raise the natural rate—policy is expansionary and hours rise relative to the flexible price case.

This note demonstrates a decomposition of correlations into contributions of structural shocks. The method is useful for analysis of complex models that can be expressed as linear state-space models, e.g., DSGE, SVAR or dynamic factor models.

This paper shows that in economies with several monies the Bailey–Divisia multidimensional consumers’ surplus formula may emerge as an exact general-equilibrium measure of the welfare costs of inflation, provided that preferences are quasilinear.

This paper presents a model in which (1) fiat money has strictly positive value in the unique trembling hand equilibrium. This holds as each bank note is both: (a) a witness for the existence of some agent in the economy with debt, backed by collateral, and (b) the only matter that allows the...

This paper shows that the empirically documented disinflationary nature of news shocks is consistent with the implications of a sensibly modified version of a New Keynesian model, even if capital is introduced to the model. The modification proposed in the current paper, however, is different...

In 2008, US corporate bond spreads almost reached Great Depression levels. The Fed was a lender of last resort in commercial paper, but not corporate bonds. The Fed’s FRB/US macroeconomic model is used to simulate the effects of the Fed successfully capping the BBB-10 year Treasury spread at...

The paper proposes an alternative benchmark to the EURIBOR to analyze the post-crisis puzzling behavior of deposit rates in the Eurozone. Using bank-level CDS data for 6 major euro-countries, we build a simple country-level index for banks' cost of unsecured funding. The use of this index...

We examine a housing market with price controls and show how the allocation problem can be solved through a price system. We demonstrate that the auction of Talman and Yang (2008) always generates a core allocation, thus resulting in a Pareto efficient and stable outcome.

We provide extensions of the Bulow and Klemperer (1996) result when the seller has value for the object above the minimum value of the buyers. The result may fail. We show that the seller does better with more participation and some exclusion than the optimal exclusion of buyers of low value...