In this paper, several tests are suggested for the existence of individual and time effects in panel data models with interactive effects. Their asymptotic properties are obtained under some mild conditions. Monte Carlo simulation is carried out for illustration.

A simple example is provided that shows that one test can strictly dominate another test in both local power and its robustness to asymptotic size distortion under local model misspecification, with both tests having asymptotic size equal to nominal size under correct model specification....

Amid its rapidly increasing usage and immense public interest the subject of Bitcoin has raised profound economic and societal issues. In this paper we undertake economic and econometric modelling of Bitcoin prices. As with many asset classes we show that Bitcoin exhibits speculative bubbles....

The expected value of the log of a Bayesian’s posterior assessment of the true state of nature, computed under the probability law of the true state, is always at least as large as the log of the prior.

This paper extends the classical work of bipower variation by allowing the return process to be autocorrelated. We propose a method of estimating the return volatility when the price process is described by a fractal Brownian motion with jumps.

This note describes how the Kalman filter and the Kalman smoother can be modified to allow for the vector of observables to be a function of lagged state variables without increasing the dimension of the state vector in the filter.

Employing an augmented univariate EGARCH model, we estimate the dynamic impact of information arrival as measured by volume on asymmetric news in the pre and post 2009 global financial crisis in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Our results reveal that trading volume appears to capture a...

This paper employs panel methods that address/mitigate heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence to determine the direction and sign of long-run causality between transport energy consumption per capita and real GDP per capita. Granger-causality was determined to run from GDP to energy.

Empirical evidence suggests that asset returns correlate more strongly in bear markets than conventional correlation estimates imply. We propose a method for determining complete tail-correlation matrices based on Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates. We demonstrate how to obtain more efficient...

This paper analyzes stock-price volatility in the presence of periodically collapsing Evans bubbles. We derive a volatility formula that establishes a link between the bubble component and stock-price volatility. We demonstrate how to fit the volatility equation to stock-market data.