We build a two-sector neoclassical growth model with housing to reveal a set of fundamental forces behind the movement of house prices. The relative price of house exhibits secular growth that is determined by sectoral technological progress and factor intensities. Off the balanced growth path,...

This paper studies empirically the dynamic interactions between asset prices, monetary policy, and aggregate fluctuations in the U.S. during the Volcker–Greenspan period. Results from a simple structural vector autoregression indicate that monetary policy reacts directly to the term spread and...