Showing 1 - 10 of 144
This paper introduces nowcasting causality as the mixed-frequency version of instantaneous causality. We analyze the relationship between nowcasting and Granger causality in a mixed-frequency VAR and illustrate its impact on the significance of high-frequency variables in mixed-frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041595
regressors are highly persistent. The reduced convergence rates may sometimes lead to power losses in finite samples when testing … for no predictability, for instance. The note discusses a simple way of improving the local power of IVX-based tests … the power loss of IVX would have been maximal compared to the infeasible OLS-based test. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933300
This article tests the linearity assumption underlying the popular heterogeneous autoregressive model for realized volatility (HAR-RV). We implement a consistent model specification test that is robust to both distributional and model misspecification. We find that, using a nonparametric HAR-RV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939493
A novel procedure is applied to test for switches between hysteresis and the natural rate theory over more than a century of UK and USA unemployment data. For both the countries we see a period conforming to hysteresis starting in the early 1920s for the UK and 1930 for USA.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263414
We compare the asymptotic local power of upper-tail unit root tests against an explosive alternative based on ordinary … initialisation, the QD-based tests are near asymptotically efficient and generally offer superior power to OLS-based approaches …; however, the power gains are much more modest than in the lower-tail testing context. We also find that asymptotically non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729462
they lead to more precise estimation of the persistence parameter and greater power in unit root tests. However, we find … that unit root tests using these recursive procedures tend to lose power significantly when the initial value is very large. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678814
We consider the use of information criteria (IC) on the basis of a semiparametric seasonal error correction model for selecting seasonal cointegrating ranks. Some limit properties of the IC are considered and, through a small Monte Carlo simulation, we evaluate the performance of the IC.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681779
This paper proposes a test for linearity against exponential smooth transition models with endogenous right-hand-side variables: to the very best of our knowledge, this class of models is new to the literature. By Monte Carlo analysis the test is shown to have good finite sample properties.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594168
We propose a test for the evaluation of statistical acceptability of a functional constraint which is imposed on parameters in the mixed data sampling regressions. The asymptotic behavior of the test statistic is characterized and a few other extensions are discussed.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597199
This paper proposes a variable addition test for exogeneity in threshold regression models with potentially endogenous right-hand-side variables. An accurate Monte Carlo study is undertaken and the results show the good finite sample properties of the suggested test.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665679