Quarterly central bank projections regarding future interest rate decisions may become stale when new information enters the market. Using data from New Zealand, we find the predicted time-varying and state-dependent effects of interest rate projections on market expectations and uncertainty.

The European overnight rate (Eonia) signals the monetary policy stance of the European Central Bank. Controllability of the Eonia requires that the persistence of the spread between the Eonia and the key policy rate remains sufficiently low. We apply fractional integration techniques to examine...

If long-term inflation expectations are well-anchored, they should be unaffected by short-term economic news. This letter introduces news-regressions with multiple endogenous breaks to investigate the de- and re-anchoring of US inflation expectations. We confirm earlier evidence on the...