In this note we provide an operational interpretation of the economic index of riskiness of Aumann and Serrano (2008) and discuss its existence in the case of non-finite gambles.

We investigate the relationship between female labour force participation and economic growth in the South Mediterranean countries with a two-step methodology of econometric exercise and general equilibrium modelling. Econometric estimations on female labour participation confirm the U-shaped...

Recently, a new test for nonlinearity and chaos was proposed, the noise titration technique. I discuss in this paper its relevance for the case of economic time series. I apply the test on two relevant datasets for which previous assessments exist, both simulated and real data. Compared to other...

There has been mixed evidence regarding the existence of rational bubbles in the foreign exchange markets. This paper introduces recently developed sequential unit root tests into the analysis of exchange rates bubbles. We find strong evidence of explosive behavior in the nominal Sterling-dollar...

This paper employs panel methods that address/mitigate heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence to determine the direction and sign of long-run causality between transport energy consumption per capita and real GDP per capita. Granger-causality was determined to run from GDP to energy.

Empirical evidence suggests that asset returns correlate more strongly in bear markets than conventional correlation estimates imply. We propose a method for determining complete tail-correlation matrices based on Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates. We demonstrate how to obtain more efficient...

We propose a multivariate test for forecast rationality under asymmetric loss functions and test jointly the rationality of inflation–output forecasts of the MMS survey for the US. Our results indicate that even though the rationality of the forecasts individually may be rejected under two...

We propose an empirical likelihood-based method of inference for comparing inequality between two populations. A series of Monte Carlo experiments are used to assess our method’s finite sample performance. We illustrate our approach using some Canadian household income data.

In this paper we consider the problem of interpreting the signs of the estimated coefficients in multivariate time series regressions where the regressors are correlated. Using a continuous time model, we argue that focusing on the signs of individual coefficients in such regressions could be...

I provide the nonparametric identification of nonlinear dynamic panel data models. I relax the assumption of covariate evolution in Shiu and Hu (2013) by the results of Hu and Shum (2012). The assumptions include first-order Markov assumptions and a restriction on the evolution of the covariate.