This paper considers a multivariate extension of the test for neglected nonlinearity proposed by Tsay (1986) that uses principal components to overcome the problem of dimensionality that is common with tests of this type. Monte Carlo experiments reveal that the modified multivariate test...

In this paper we extend the FMLS-based CUSUM cointegration test (Xiao and Phillips, 2002) for testing the smooth time-varying cointegration null hypothesis. For this purpose we use Chebyshev time polynomials to specify time-varying coefficients under the null. We derive the limiting distribution...

The commonly-used version of the double-hurdle model rests on a rather restrictive set of statistical assumptions, which are very seldom tested by practitioners, mainly because of the lack of a standard procedure for doing so, although violation of such assumptions can lead to serious modelling...

We examine the performance of nonlinear instrumental variable (NIV) unit root tests using various recursive detrending methods. We find that the NIV unit root tests using the recursive detrending method of Chang (2002) are the most powerful. They are more powerful than OLS based DF tests.

This paper proposes a test for linearity against exponential smooth transition models with endogenous right-hand-side variables: to the very best of our knowledge, this class of models is new to the literature. By Monte Carlo analysis the test is shown to have good finite sample properties.

The use of recursive demeaning and detrending procedures in unit root tests has been popular in the literature, since they lead to more precise estimation of the persistence parameter and greater power in unit root tests. However, we find that unit root tests using these recursive procedures...

In this study, we determine the reliability and exogeneity of four popular monetary policy shock measures, namely the narrative series of Romer and Romer (2004), the high-frequency series of Barakchian and Crowe (2013), the high-frequency series of Gertler and Karadi (2015), and the hybrid...

By allowing deviations from equilibrium to follow a fractionally integrated process, the notion of fractional cointegration analysis encompasses a wide range of mean-reverting behaviors. For fractional cointegrations, asymptotic theories have been extensively studied, and numerous empirical...

This paper introduces nowcasting causality as the mixed-frequency version of instantaneous causality. We analyze the relationship between nowcasting and Granger causality in a mixed-frequency VAR and illustrate its impact on the significance of high-frequency variables in mixed-frequency...

This paper studies the linearity test of STAR models with deterministic trends. The results show that when the data generation process includes a deterministic trend, the Wald-type statistic proposed by Teräsvirta (1994) does not follow the standard χ2 distribution, but degenerates at the...